Experts make predictions about the big winner of the night

The 96th annual edition of Oscar took place on Sunday (10), bringing together the cream of international cinema, and experts from the entertainment industry shared their predictions for the results of some of the main categories.

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The film of Christopher Nolan“Oppenheimer”, is the favorite to win the Oscar for best film and leads this year's Oscar nominations, with 13 nominations.

For film experts like Erik Davis, editor-in-chief of Fandango magazine, there hasn't been a big Oscar favorite like the film about the 'father of the atomic bomb' in a long time, which has already taken home all the precursor prizes in previous awards shows. this season.

“I'm not sure we've had a big favorite like 'Oppenheimer' for a while now, but 'Oppenheimer' is really the favorite to win best picture,” said Erik, who praised the production for its achievements on multiple fronts, including narrative, cast performances, photography, editing and soundtrack.

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“Every part of 'Oppenheimer,' when put together, helps push the boundaries of best picture because it's more than just an entertaining movie,” Davis added. “Overall, I think this film reaches the level of an Oscar winner.”

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“I think it would be a big surprise if 'Oppenheimer' didn't win,” he considers. “Films rarely gain such broad support across the industry,” he explains.

“'Oppenheimer,' for me, is a block,” she said. “I think it hits a lot of different levels. This style of film, the script, the acting, it's so good… Sometimes you see these beloved independent films and people are like, 'I don't understand this.' This is a topic everyone can connect to.”

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“Oppenheimer” will compete for best film alongside nine other films, including “American Fiction”, “Anatomy of a Fall”, “Barbie”, “The Holdovers”, “Killers of the Flower Moon”, “Maestro”.

Experts doubt that any of these titles will be able to top Nolan's film and note that a loss to “Oppenheimer” in this category would likely be the shock of the night.

Aramide Tinubu, TV critic for Variety magazine, told CBS News:

“I think it’s one of those versatile films that reached everyone,” he said, pointing to “Oppenheimer’s” victory.

But possible dark horses for best picture could still include Alexander Payne's “The Holdovers,” Justine Triet's multilingual drama “Anatomy of a Fall,” or Yorgos Lanthimos's offbeat sci-fi comedy “Poor Things.” , which follows “Oppenheimer” with 11 Oscar nominations.

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Critic Christopher Rosen, digital director of the website Eng, is co-host of the “Gold Derby Show” podcast, where he discusses and predicts the awards season.

Rosen highlighted that “Oppenheimer’s” projected triumph in the best picture race is not just because he has roamed the awards circuit so far, but because he has all the makings of a winner.

New Oscar 2024 Rules

Last year, the Hollywood Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announced significant changes to the 2024 Oscar campaign, which changes came after some controversial events that marked the last edition.

First, there was the nomination of Andrea Riseborough for Best Actress for the low-budget film “To Leslie”, which did not have a relevant box office performance and also did not participate in other awards.

One of the main rules imposed by the Academy is the prohibition of direct contact between film production and voting members, and that is exactly what happened with Andrea's nomination.

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Furthermore, investigations confirmed that members of the production contacted several Hollywood stars seeking support. At the time, the case generated controversy, but the Academy maintained the actress's nomination, stating that “the action in question does not reach the level of removing the film's nomination”.

However, the Academy now seeks to create an environment in which votes are based solely on the artistic and technical merits of eligible films, a statement said.

Two other controversial events marked the last edition of the award, for example, the party organized by the producer of “Top Gun: Maverick” with the presence of several voting members.

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Soon, a post by Michelle Yeoh (who won in the Best Actress category) on social media, which questioned whether also nominated Cate Blanchett deserved the award.

Based on this, Janet Yang, president of the Academy, stated that the episodes were a warning sign and released the revised rules for the next edition of the awards.

Private meetings and events with Academy members are now permitted, as long as they are not organized or publicized by the studios.

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However, posts on social media mentioning other competitors remain prohibited.

Voters and production members also cannot speak about their voting strategies or decisions. For those who fail to comply with the new rules, there will be some penalties that include suspension or expulsion from the Academy, and termination of appointments.