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Corinthians and Grêmio favorites in the Copa do Brasil? Understand analytics!

Starting this Tuesday, the 25th, the Copa do Brasil starts the semifinals and promises to bring a lot of emotions to the fans of the teams

Of the 92 teams that started Brazil’s Cupthere are four semifinalists left who will decide who goes to the final in 2023. In the most democratic competition in Brazilian football, ‘Guild x Flamengo‘ It is ‘Corinthians x São Paulo‘ enter the field collecting 12 tournament titles, 5 from Grêmio, 4 from Flamengo and 3 from Corinthians.


The São Paulo team is looking for its first triumph in history. A Betfair, specialist in sports odds, calculated who are the favorites in this week’s clashes in the Copa do Brasil and which is the favorite team to win the title. This Tuesday, the 25th, Corinthians and São Paulo open the first leg clashes in the semifinal of the Copa do Brasil.

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The game marks the classification of two clubs that show moments of instability during the season. Corinthians comes from an elimination in the Libertadores and reversed adverse scores in the Copa do Brasil three times (retrospect of three wins and three defeats) with setbacks for Remo, Atlético Mineiro and América Mineiro going through the stage on penalties.

São Paulo, on the other hand, was going through a bad phase when Rogerio Ceni still led the team, and on the arrival of dorival juniorstarted to collect positive moments in the Brasileirão and won four wins, one draw and one defeat in the Copa do Brasil, eliminating Palmeiras in the quarterfinals with two wins against the rival of the state.

Corinthians and Sao Paulo in action
Copa do Brasil enters the final stretch starting this week (Credit: GettyImages)

In the history between Corinthians and São Paulo in the Copa do Brasil, Timão wins over the rival. In the 2002 conquest, Timão won the first leg by 2-0 and secured the classification even with the defeat by 2-1 away from home. For the first game, Corinthians has a 36% (odd of 2.65) of favoritism to win according to Betfair, against 33% (odd of 2.85) for Tricolor. A draw appears with a 31% (odd of 3.0) chance of happening.

The match between Grêmio and Flamengo this Wednesday, 26, marks the meeting between record-breaking clubs in participation in the semifinals of the Copa do Brasil. In all, there are 16 participations for each of the clubs, in addition to the fourth direct confrontation between the teams in this phase, being the eighth meeting between them in the competition.

Grêmio and Flamengo in action
Copa do Brasil enters the final stretch starting this week (Credit: GettyImages)

The history shows four classifications for Flamengo and four for the Rio Grande do Sul team, including the Grêmio title above in 1997. In the three clashes that took place in the semifinals between Rio Grande do Sul and Rio de Janeiro, in all of them, Grêmio advanced to the final (1989, 1993 and 1995). In the last three matches for the tournament (2004, 2018 and 2021), Flamengo took the vacancy.

see the lineups of the game in the Brasileirão!

For the first match of the semifinal, Grêmio has the advantage in the game this Wednesday, 26th, at the Arena do Grêmio against the cariocas. There are 38% (odd of 2.5) chances for the team to Suarez win, against 34% (odd of 2.8) for Flamengo to win away from home. A tie has a 28% (odd of 3.3) chance of happening.

Is Flamengo favorite for the title?

A Betfair also projected which team is the big favorite for the 2023 Copa do Brasil title. According to the bookmaker’s analysis, Flamengo, champion of the tournament in 2022, has a 42% (odd of 2.0) chance of winning the fifth title in 2023 and equaling Grêmio in number of tournament victories.


The second team with the highest title possibilities is São Paulo with 22% (odd of 3.75). The team seeks its first cup of the Copa do Brasil. Timão comes in third with 19% (odd of 4.33) and Grêmio appears with only 17% (odd of 5.0) of matching Cruzeiro, with six titles.

Corinthians and Grêmio favorites in the Copa do Brasil? Understand analytics!

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